8 guidance statements on the ledger, 7 with an outcome document: 3 settled, 4 still open.
1 statement has no outcome document yet. 5 of the 8 are specific enough to score. The others are tracked and shown but carry no number to check. 2 of the selected rows for this company are specific, which is what the accuracy score would rest on. Every company's statements.
Aug 6, 2026specificno outcome documentfilings and press releasesother
Our most significant third-party hosting arrangements are set to expire beginning in Q3 2027, with all third-party hosting arrangements to conclude by Q1 2028. These expirations are expected to eliminate third-party hosting costs over time and improve our cost per kWh.
- Projected
- exit of all third-party hosting arrangements by Q1 2028, by Mar 31, 2028
- Actual
- no outcome document yet
- Variance
- not resolved
Said in 8-K EX-99.1 Aug 6, 2026, Q2 2026 Shareholder Letter, grade verified. No outcome document has been read for this statement yet.
Jul 9, 2026specificstill openfilings and press releasesMW
The site encompasses more than 1,200 acres and is expected to provide access to up to an initial 1 GW of grid capacity by October 2027 and up to 2 GW by April 2028.
- Projected
- 1,000 MW by 2027-10; 2,000 MW by 2028-04 (Matagorda County, TX), by Apr 30, 2028
- Actual
- unresolved; 'subject to ERCOT and interconnect approvals'; HIF has 'given Notice to Proceed for construction on the switchyard' as of Aug 6, 2026
- Variance
- not resolved
The outcome document says: Our recent agreement to acquire rights to a strategically located powered site in Matagorda County, Texas, is expected to add approximately two gigawatts in one of the country's most attractive markets, subject to ERCOT and interconnect approvals.
The outcome document reports the site as conditional: the capacity is 'subject to ERCOT and interconnect approvals'. The counterparty's own July 2026 release, which is this row's source document, states 'We have given Notice to Proceed for construction on the switchyard to connect the site to the grid.'
Said in 8-K EX-99.1 Jul 9, 2026 (HIF press release), grade verified. Outcome from 8-K EX-99.1 Aug 6, 2026, Q2 2026 Shareholder Letter, grade verified.
May 11, 2026directionalsettledfilings and press releaseshashrate
Going forward, we do not expect to pursue large-scale ASIC purchases. Our approach will remain selective, targeted, and grounded in clear economic return.
- Projected
- no large-scale fleet growth; hashrate roughly flat, no date given; the statement is open
- Actual
- consistent so far: energized hashrate 72.2 EH/s (Mar 31, 2026) to 70.3 EH/s (Jun 30, 2026); capex on property and equipment $94.3 million in H1 2026 vs $157.8 million in H1 2025 as of Jun 30, 2026
- Variance
- not computed
The outcome document says: As of June 30, 2026, we owned approximately 440,000 mining rigs globally, including our share of mining rigs from our equity method investee, the Abu Dhabi Global Markets company (the "ADGM Entity"), with an energized hashrate of approximately 70.3 exahashes per second ("EH/s").
Said in 8-K EX-99.1 May 11, 2026, Q1 2026 Shareholder Letter, grade verified. Outcome from 10-Q Q2 2026 (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026), filed Aug 6, 2026, grade verified.
May 11, 2026directionalstill openfilings and press releasesHPC MW
Our expectation is to sign one or more tenant leases by year-end, and we intend to disclose the number of megawatts under contract as the pipeline converts into signed commitments.
- Projected
- at least one hyperscale/AI tenant lease signed, by Dec 31, 2026
- Actual
- unresolved; no lease signed as of Aug 6, 2026 ('lease discussions are progressing across multiple sites, and we remain confident in our ability to sign at least one lease before year-end') as of Aug 6, 2026
- Variance
- not resolved
The outcome document says: Working alongside Starwood, lease discussions are progressing across multiple sites, and we remain confident in our ability to sign at least one lease before year-end.
The outcome document reports no lease signed: 'lease discussions are progressing across multiple sites, and we remain confident in our ability to sign at least one lease before year-end'.
Said in 8-K EX-99.1 May 11, 2026, Q1 2026 Shareholder Letter, grade verified. Outcome from 8-K EX-99.1 Aug 6, 2026, Q2 2026 Shareholder Letter, grade verified.
May 11, 2026directionalstill openfilings and press releasesother
Subject to closing and tenant execution, we believe Long Ridge can support tenant commitments soon after closing, which we expect to occur in the second half of the year, subject to regulatory approvals, including clearance under the Hart-Scott-Rodino Act and Federal Energy Regulatory Commission approval, as well as satisfaction of other customary closing conditions.
- Projected
- Long Ridge acquisition closes in H2 2026, by Dec 31, 2026
- Actual
- unresolved; 'currently awaiting FERC approval' as of Aug 6, 2026; consent solicitation for the 8.750% notes completed May 15, 2026; purchase agreement outside date Nov 30, 2026 (Jun 30, 2027 if regulatory conditions unmet) as of Aug 6, 2026
- Variance
- not resolved
The outcome document says: We continued to advance the Long Ridge transaction and are currently awaiting FERC approval.
The outcome document reports the transaction as pending: 'currently awaiting FERC approval'. The consent solicitation for the 8.750% notes completed on May 15, 2026 and the purchase agreement's outside date is Nov 30, 2026, or Jun 30, 2027 if the regulatory conditions are unmet.
Said in 8-K EX-99.1 May 11, 2026, Q1 2026 Shareholder Letter, grade verified. Outcome from 8-K EX-99.1 Aug 6, 2026, Q2 2026 Shareholder Letter, grade verified.
Apr 30, 2026specificsettledfilings and press releasesMW
Long Ridge's assets include a 485 MW nameplate capacity (expected to increase to 505 MW nameplate capacity in H2 2026) combined-cycle gas turbine power plant located in Hannibal, Ohio
- Projected
- 505 MW nameplate, by Dec 31, 2026 (H2 2026)
- Actual
- timeline moved: the Q2 2026 10-Q says 'expected to increase to 505 MW in the first quarter of 2027' as of Aug 6, 2026
- Variance
- not computed
The outcome document says: Long Ridge’s assets include a 485 megawatt (“MW”) combined-cycle gas turbine power plant in Hannibal, Ohio (expected to increase to 505 MW in the first quarter of 2027) and over 1,600 contiguous acres with access to water, fiber and rail infrastructure.
Said in 8-K Apr 30, 2026 Item 1.01 (Long Ridge equity purchase agreement), grade verified. Outcome from 10-Q Q2 2026 (quarter ended Jun 30, 2026), filed Aug 6, 2026, grade verified.
Apr 30, 2026specificstill openfilings and press releasesHPC MW
MARA expects construction of an initial AI/Critical IT buildout to begin in 1H 2027, with initial capacity accelerated by its current 200 MW of capacity and targeted to be ready for service in mid-2028. MARA also has multiple paths to expand capacity at the site to up to 600 gross MW over time through a combination of grid expansions and on-site power generation, which MARA will pursue in parallel with the transaction close.
- Projected
- initial AI/Critical IT buildout at Hannibal: construction start 1H 2027, ready for service mid-2028; up to 600 gross MW over time, by Jun 30, 2028
- Actual
- unresolved; acquisition not closed as of Aug 6, 2026 as of Aug 6, 2026
- Variance
- not resolved
The outcome document reports the acquisition as not closed as of Aug 6, 2026, so the megawatts it would add are not yet MARA's.
Said in 8-K EX-99.1 Apr 30, 2026 (Long Ridge press release), grade verified. Outcome from 8-K EX-99.1 Aug 6, 2026, Q2 2026 Shareholder Letter. No outcome sentence is stored, so the outcome was not string-checked.
Jul 1, 2025specificsettledfilings and press releaseshashrate
With 1.7 gigawatts ("GW") of captive capacity - including 1.1 GW currently operational - and a growth pipeline exceeding 3 GW of low-cost power opportunities, we are targeting 75 exahash by the end of 2025.
- Projected
- 75 EH/s energized, by Dec 31, 2025
- Actual
- 66.4 EH/s at Dec 31, 2025 (missed by 8.6 EH/s); company: 'While below our 75 EH/s target, this outcome reflects deliberate capital discipline' as of Dec 31, 2025
- Variance
- -11.5%, short of the projectionfrom 75 EH/s projected against 66.4 EH/s reported
The outcome document says: While below our 75 EH/s target, this outcome reflects deliberate capital discipline.
Said in press release Jul 1, 2025 'MARA Reports June 2025 Bitcoin Production and Mining Operations Update, Issues Mid-Year Outlook' (ir.mara.com, server-rendered; GlobeNewswire dateline), grade verified. Outcome from 8-K EX-99.1 Feb 26, 2026, Q4 2025 Shareholder Letter, grade verified.