8 guidance statements on the ledger, 7 with an outcome document: 4 settled, 3 still open.
1 statement has no outcome document yet. 5 of the 8 are specific enough to score. One statement is a reported result: already in hand when stated, so it is shown but never scored. The others are tracked and shown but carry no number to check. 2 of the selected rows for this company are specific, which is what the accuracy score would rest on. Every company's statements.
Aug 27, 2026directionalstill openfilings and press releasesother
We continue to operate Bitcoin miners at certain of our data centers while we transition this data center capacity toward AI Cloud Services. We aim to substantially complete this transition by December 31, 2026.
- Projected
- Bitcoin mining substantially wound down by Dec 31, 2026, by Dec 31, 2026
- Actual
- pending; installed hashrate already down from 50 EH/s (June 2025) to 23.2 EH/s (June 2026) as of Jun 30, 2026
- Variance
- not resolved
The outcome document says: As of June 30, 2026, our installed Bitcoin mining capacity was approximately 23.2 EH/s, representing approximately 380MW of data center capacity.
Said in 10-K FY2026 filed Aug 27, 2026, grade verified. Outcome from 10-K FY2026 filed Aug 27, 2026, grade verified.
May 7, 2026specificstill openfilings and press releasesHPC MW
2026 expansion to 480MW on track ... Horizon 1-4 on track for delivery by year-end ... 2027 expansion to 1,210MW in build
- Projected
- 480MW gross AI Cloud capacity by end-2026; 1,210MW in 2027, by Dec 31, 2026
- Actual
- Horizon 1 delivered Aug 2026; Horizon 2 commissioning, Horizon 3-4 'targeting delivery in Q4 2026' (FY26 release); 2026 cumulative delivery target restated as ~0.3GW (IT) and 2027 as ~0.8GW (IT); 8-K Aug 13, 2026 still 'target[s] ... 480MW (gross) AI Cloud capacity in 2026 and 1.2GW (gross) ... in 2027'. Pending. as of Aug 27, 2026
- Variance
- not resolved
The outcome document says: Horizon 1 delivered to Microsoft ... Horizon 2 commissioning underway and Horizon 3-4 in late-stage construction, targeting delivery in Q4 2026
Said in 8-K EX-99.1 May 8, 2026 (Q3 FY26 results release dated May 7, 2026), grade verified. Outcome from 8-K EX-99.1 Aug 27, 2026 (FY26 results release), grade verified.
Nov 6, 2025specificsettledfilings and press releasesrevenue
New multi-year contracts including Together AI, Fluidstack and Fireworks AI, supporting growth to target AI Cloud ARR of >$500m by end of Q1
- Projected
- >$500m ARR (Prince George GPU deployments) by end of Q1 2026, by Mar 31, 2026
- Actual
- ~$0.4bn ARR under contract at Prince George as of Feb 5, 2026; '$0.5bn ARR under contract from GPU deployments at Prince George' as of May 7, 2026 (contracted, not yet all revenue-generating) as of May 7, 2026
- Variance
- not computed
The outcome document says: ARR under contract of $3.1bn represents expected $1.9bn average annual revenue under Microsoft contract, expected $0.7bn average annual revenue under NVIDIA contract, plus $0.5bn ARR under contract from GPU deployments at Prince George.
Said in 8-K EX-99.1 Nov 6, 2025 (Q1 FY26 results release), grade verified. Outcome from 8-K EX-99.1 May 8, 2026 (Q3 FY26 results release dated May 7, 2026), grade verified.
Nov 6, 2025specificstill openfilings and press releasesrevenue
Targeting $3.4bn in AI Cloud annualized run-rate revenue (ARR) by the end of 2026 (expansion to 140k GPUs)
- Projected
- $3.4bn ARR by end of CY2026, by Dec 31, 2026
- Actual
- Target raised to $3.7bn (Mar 4, 2026, 150k GPUs), then to 'more than $4bn' (Jul 20, 2026). As of Aug 26, 2026: $1bn operating ARR and '$4bn contracted ARR for 2026 capacity'. Unresolved until year-end. as of Aug 27, 2026
- Variance
- not resolved
The outcome document says: Current: $4bn contracted ARR for 2026 capacity
Said in 8-K EX-99.1 Nov 6, 2025 (Q1 FY26 results release), grade verified. Outcome from 8-K EX-99.1 Aug 27, 2026 (FY26 results release), grade verified.
Nov 6, 2025directionalno outcome documentfilings and press releasesMW
Sweetwater 2 (600MW) substation energization targeting late 2027
- Projected
- Sweetwater 2 energized late 2027, by Dec 31, 2027
- Actual
- no outcome document yet
- Variance
- not resolved
Said in 8-K EX-99.1 Nov 6, 2025 (Q1 FY26 results release), grade verified. No outcome document has been read for this statement yet.
Jul 7, 2025specificsettledfilings and press releasesHPC MW
Horizon 1 (up to 50MW IT load) on track for Q4 2025 delivery, with foundations underway and long lead equipment continuing to arrive in line with initial expectations
- Projected
- Horizon 1, 50MW IT, delivered Q4 2025, by Dec 31, 2025
- Actual
- Horizon 1 delivered to and accepted by Microsoft in August 2026 (about 8 months after the original target; the Nov 2025 Microsoft contract re-based delivery to 2026, and the 10-K cites NVIDIA component shortages) as of Aug 13, 2026
- Variance
- not computed
The outcome document says: Horizon 1 is the first of four 50MW (IT load) direct-to-chip liquid cooled AI Cloud deployments scheduled for delivery to Microsoft at IREN’s Childress, Texas campus in 2026 under a five-year, $9.7bn cloud services contract announced in November 2025.
Said in 8-K EX-99.1 Jul 7, 2025 (June 2025 Monthly Update), grade verified. Outcome from 8-K EX-99.1 Aug 13, 2026 (Horizon 1 delivered to Microsoft), grade verified.
Jul 7, 2025reported resultsettledfilings and press releaseshashrate
50 EH/s installed - reached target self-mining capacity by month end, with further expansion paused to prioritize continued build-out of AI verticals
Reported result, not a promise. The target had already been reached (Jun 30, 2025) when this was stated (Jul 7, 2025). It reports a result, so it is shown but never scored.
- Projected
- 50 EH/s installed by mid-2025 (target set in 2024), by Jun 30, 2025
- Actual
- 50 EH/s installed June 2025 (met); subsequently reduced to 23.2 EH/s installed at Jun 30, 2026 as miners were decommissioned for AI Cloud as of Jun 30, 2026
- Variance
- 0.0%, on the projectionfrom 50 EH/s projected against 50 EH/s reported
The outcome document says: As of June 30, 2026, our installed Bitcoin mining capacity was approximately 23.2 EH/s, representing approximately 380MW of data center capacity.
Said in 8-K EX-99.1 Jul 7, 2025 (June 2025 Monthly Update), grade verified. Outcome from 10-K FY2026 filed Aug 27, 2026, grade verified.
Jul 7, 2025specificsettledfilings and press releasesMW
Sweetwater 1 (1.4GW) ... Targeting energization April 2026
- Projected
- Sweetwater 1 substation energized April 2026, by Apr 30, 2026
- Actual
- 'We energized the Sweetwater 1 substation on schedule' (Q3 FY26 release, May 7, 2026) as of May 7, 2026
- Variance
- not computed
The outcome document says: We energized the Sweetwater 1 substation on schedule, advanced the Horizon 1-4 liquid-cooled data centers at Childress in support of our $9.7bn contract with Microsoft, and continued transitioning existing data centers from ASICs to GPUs for higher- value AI Cloud workloads.
Said in 8-K EX-99.1 Jul 7, 2025 (June 2025 Monthly Update), grade verified. Outcome from 8-K EX-99.1 May 8, 2026 (Q3 FY26 results release dated May 7, 2026), grade verified.